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6-8-15 Handout Mayor Woods ‘/,?//3 Search Results 1 • m o ,w.W ,w 4 . . � d h r .* a i • • n 2 mThe two major causes of global sea-level rise are thermal expansion caused by the warming of the oceans (since water expands as it warms) and the loss of land- based ice (such as glaciers and polar ice caps) due to increased melting. n 3 mis sea level rising? - National Ocean Service- NOAA oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/sealevel.htmlNational Ocean Service n 2 Feedback 3 mSea Level Rise-- National Geographic ocean.nationalgeographic.com/ocean/critical... 1 Cached 2 Similar 4 National Geographic Society Learn about the environmental issue of sea level rise and its causes and consequences in this oceans article from National Geographic. n 5 mWhat Does U.S. Look Like With 10 Feet of Sea Level Rise www.climatecentral.org/.../u.s.-with-10-feet-of-sea-level-r... 1 Cached 2 Similar 6 Climate Central May 13, 2014 -The projected decay will lead to at least 4 feet of accelerating global sea level rise within the next two-plus centuries, and at least 10 feet of rise... n 7 mis sea level rising?- National Ocean Service - NOAA oceanservice.noaa.gov> Ocean Facts 1 Cached 2 Similar 8 National Ocean Service The two major causes of global sea-level rise are thermal expansion caused by the warming of the oceans (since water expands as it warms) and the loss of land-based ice (such as glaciers and polar ice caps) due to increased melting. n 9 mCauses of Sea Level Rise: What the Science Tells Us (2013 ...www.ucsusa.org/.../causes- 1 1 Cached 2 Similar 10 Union of Concerned Scientists Sea level is rising--and at an accelerating rate-- largely in response to global warming.A 2013 fact sheet from the Union of Concerned Scientists. n 11 mSea level rise -Wikipedia,the free encyclopedia en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise 1 Cached 12 Wikipedia There are two main mechanisms that contribute to observed sea level rise: (1) thermal expansion: ocean water expands as it warms - because of the increase in ocean heat content; and (2) the melting of major stores of land ice like ice sheets and glaciers. n 13 mRising Waters: How Fast and How Far Will Sea Levels Rise e360.yale.edu/.../rising...how...sea_levels_rise/2702/ 1 Cached 2 Similar 14 Yale University Oct 21, 2013 - up by the deeper, colder parts of the ocean; cold water simply doesn't expand so much on heating as warmer water does, so the sea level rise ... n 15 mHow much will sea levels rise in the 21st Century?www.skepticalscience.com/sea-level- rise-predictions.htm 1 Similar 16 Skeptical Science Aug 4, 2013 - Global estimates of sea level rise were subject to substantial differences in .... He does seem to be a very experienced expert on sea levels. n 17 mHow much is sea level rising? - Skeptical Science www.skepticalscience.com/sea-level- rise.htm 1 Similar 18 Skeptical Science Jun 3, 2014-What they find is sea level rise has been steadily accelerating over the...The low resolution issue is adressed but the uncertainty issue does... n 19 mRising Sea Level I A Student's Guide to Global Climate ...www.epa.gov/.../sea-leve... 1 Cached 20 United States Environmental Protection Agency Aug 28, 2014 -Sea level is also rising because melting glaciers and ice sheets are adding more water to the oceans.What's happening now?This line graph shows the average sea level around the world since 1870. ...Why does it matter? n 21 mSea Level Rise I Weather Underground www.wunderground.com/.../SeaLevelRise.asp_1 1 Cached 22 Weather Underground Figure 1. During the last ice age (top) sea level was at least 120 m lower than it is today (bottom), exposing much more area on the continents. In these ... n 23 z 1 Home » See the Impacts » The Signs of Climate Change » Rising Sea Level Rising Sea Level As water gets warmer, it takes up more space. Each drop of water only expands by a little bit, but when you multiply ' �: this expansion over the entire depth of the ocean, it all adds up and causes sea level to rise. Sea level is also rising because melting glaciers and ice sheets are adding more water to the oceans. �' "it* What's happening now? Over the past 100 years,the average sea level around the world rose by nearly 7 inches. Did you know that sea level can change by different amounts in different places?Find out why. beirthge Why does sea level change by different amounts in different places? Sea level is rising faster in some places than others because of wind patterns, ocean currents, and other factors. In addition, sea level may seem like it's changing more in certain places than others because the land itself may be rising or sinking. In some places,the land is rising or sinking because of plate tectonics—the same forces that cause earthquakes, create volcanoes, and build mountain A 2 ranges. In addition to plate tectonics, land can also " rJ ` sink because people have pumped lots of oil, natural or water out of the ground. When the land is also 'N rising, sea level rise might not seem so bad. But in coastal areas where the land is sinking,the effects of 0" .M sea level rise will be even worse. MO B s* on Xl• Average sea level around the world has been rising for many years.In this graph, the shaded band shows the likely range of sea level,which depends on the number of measurements and the methods used at different times.Source:EPA's Climate Change Indicators(2012). 45 bad in places viitere the land when the land is siinkin+ is rising... xvF What will happen in the future? If people keep adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere,the average sea level around the world by the end of this century(the year 2099)could be anywhere from 7 to 23 inches higher than it was in 1990. Sea level could rise even more if the big ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica melt faster. Why does it matter? Rising sea level is a threat to people who live near the ocean. Some low-lying areas will have more frequent flooding, and very low- lying land could be submerged completely. Rising sea level can also harm important coastal ecosystems like mangrove forests and coral reefs. Check out the major effects of rising sea level on people and the environment: • Coastal Areas • Recreation • Plants,Animals, and Ecosystems Learn more about rising sea level by_going on an expedition to the Maldives! How much is sea level rising? What The Science Says: A variety of different measurements find steadily rising sea levels over the past century. Climate Myth: Sea level rise is exaggerated "We are told sea level is rising and will soon swamp all of our cities. Everybody knows that the Pacific island of Tuvalu is sinking. ... Around 1990 it became obvious the local tide-gauge did not agree - there was no evidence of 'sinking.' So scientists at Flinders University, Adelaide, set up new, modern, tide-gauges in 12 Pacific islands. Recently, the whole project was abandoned as there was no sign of a change in sea level at any of the 12 islands for the past 16 years." (Vincent Gray). Gavin Schmidt investigated the claim that tide gauges on islands in the Pacific Ocean show no sea level rise and found that the data show a rising sea level trend at every single station. But what about global sea level rise? Sea level rises as ice on land melts and as warming ocean waters expand. As well as being a threat to coastal habitation and environments, sea level rise corroborates other evidence of global warming The blue line in the graph below clearly shows sea level as rising, while the upward curve suggests sea level is rising faster as time goes on. The upward curve agrees with global temperature trends and with the accelerating melting of ice in Greenland and other places. Because sea level behavior is such an important signal for tracking climate change, skeptics seize on the sea level record in an effort to cast doubt on this evidence. Sea level bounces up and down slightly from year to year so it's possible to cherry-pick data falsely suggesting the overall trend is flat, falling or linear. You can try this yourself. Starting with two closely spaced data points on the graph below, lay a straight-edge between them and notice how for a short period of time you cancreate almost any slope you prefer, simply by being selective about what data points you use. Now choose data points farther apart. Notice that as your selected data points cover more time, the more your mini-graph reflects the big picture. The lesson? Always look at all the data, don't be fooled by selective presentations. 150 r-r-- z--- _._r..__ r. _r...__. i __.� .__.. _�T�._ , __._ £ I --GMSL from tide gauges - --- a too GMSL from satetite meter i g . , (j r —` CO i y qq i -5 ' fiat► #t'1 1100 i .. .., ._... J 1 1995 2000 2005 1 . 15O .___,__ , _. z t __.� 3 r J-- -L- .� 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 graph from Church 2008 Other skeptic arguments about sea level concern the validity of observations, obtained via tide gauges and more recently satellite altimeter observations. Tide gauges must take into account changes in the height of land itself caused by local geologic processes, a favorite distraction for skeptics to highlight. Not surprisingly, scientists measuring sea level with tide gauges are aware of and compensate for these factors. Confounding influences are accounted for in measurements and while they leave some noise in the record they cannot account for the observed upward trend. Various technical criticisms are mounted against satellite altimeter measurements by skeptics. Indeed, deriving millimeter-level accuracy from orbit is a stunning technical feat so it's not hard to understand why some people find such an accomplishment unbelievable. In reality, researchers demonstrate this height measurement technique's accuracy to be within 1mm/year. Most importantly there is no form of residual error that could falsely produce the upward trend in observations. As can be seen in an inset of the graph above, tide gauge and satellite altimeter measurements track each other with remarkable similarity. These two independent systems mutually support the observed trend in sea level. If an argument depends on skipping certain observations or emphasizes uncertainty while ignoring an obvious trend, that's a clue you're being steered as opposed to informed. Don't be mislead by only a carefully-selected portion of the available evidence being disclosed. Current sea level rise is after all not exaggerated, in fact the opposite case is more plausible. Observational data and changing conditions in such places as Greenland suggest if there's a real problem here it's underestimation of future sea level rise. IPCC synthesis reports offer conservative projections of sea level increase based on assumptions about future behavior of ice sheets and glaciers, leading to estimates of sea level roughly following a linear upward trend mimicking that of recent decades. In point of fact, observed sea level rise is already above IPCC projections and strongly hints at acceleration while at the same time it appears the mass balance of continental ice envisioned by the IPCC is overly optimistic (Rahmstorf 2010 ). The Skeptical Science website by Skeptical Science . , ¢ is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution j�' . ( .co 3.0 Unported License. In bi g reversal ,, Big O asks for a price on carbon Brian Kahn Wednesda , June 3, 2015 - 12:30am IOW d <![endif] In a major about face, a group of oil executives have sent a letter to the United Nations asking for clarity on long-term energy policy. M e Let's see if you can guess the source for the following quote. "We want to be a part of the solution and deliver energy to society sustainably for many decades to come." If you guessed a major solar, wind or renewable energy company, you'd be wrong. If you guessed six of the world's largest oil and gas companies, give yourself a gold star. In a stunning reversal of years of obstructionism to creating a global framework to deal with climate change, CEOs from global oil and gas behemoths Shell, BP, Total, Statoil, Eni and the BG Group have signaled that they're ready for a price on carbon. The CEOs of the companies, with nearly $1 .4 trillion in annual revenue, sent a letter Friday, which was released publicly Monday, to Christiana Figueres, the United Nation's climate chief, as well as Laurent Fabius, France's foreign affairs and international development minister who will also lead the Paris climate talks later this year. In it, they ask for national and regional governments to set a price on carbon and for those regional carbon markets to be linked. "We need governments across the world to provide us with clear, stable, long-term, ambitious policy frameworks," the letter stated. The timing of the letter is no coincidence. Representatives from 190 countries are meeting in Bonn, Germany this week to continue hammering out details for an international climate agreement that is expected to take shape by the end of the year. Click here to read the letter in its entirety. The desire for a price on carbon might seem anathema to companies that make much of their billions from extracting oil and gas, two of the main drivers of carbon dioxide emissions that are warming the planet. And make no mistake, the six companies are not talking about getting out of the oil and gas business anytime soon. In fact, a separate letter to the media highlights natural gas as an important bridge fuel. And despite signing the letter, Shell is also headed back to the Arctic this summer to drill for oil. But in the big picture, the lack of a price on carbon creates an uncertain environment for companies that tend to plan decades into the future. The sooner a price is set, the quicker companies can adjust their plans for future profitability. In addition, there's been growing pressure from shareholders that want more clarity on how oil companies plan to continue making money in a world where carbon emissions need to decline in order to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. The growing power of the divestment movement, which aims to get pension funds and endowments to remove fossil fuel companies from their portfolio, is also posing a growing issue for fossil fuel companies. "The investors have really woken up in the past 12 months," Frances Way, co-chief operating officer of programs at CDP, said. "There's a push to ask that as a responsible investor, should they be supporting oil and gas at this point." CDP works with investors and companies interested in planning for the impacts of climate change and how to reduce emissions. For fossil fuel companies, reducing emissions means reimagining what kind of company they are. "It depends if you see it as a fossil fuel business or an energy business. Can they can diversify and change over time?" Way said. "I feel a number of individuals are trying to get a point of dialogue about the strategy and risk and being more transparent." Figueres has said she wants to have fossil fuel companies at the table for climate talks. The letter signals a willingness that they'll be pulling up a seat as good guests and not party crashers. This article originally appeared at Climate Central.org :t�� NDEPENDENT UK and US main barriers to addressing climate change, survey finds While people in China and the rest of Asia want their governments to be ambitious in tackling environmental damage, many in the West want their representatives not to do anything at all Andrew Griffin Monday, 8 June 2015 They're the two biggest emitters of greenhouses gases in the world — but the US and China have very different ideas about tackling the problem of climate change. In a new survey taken months before officials meet for perhaps the most significant climate change talks ever held, YouGov found that people the US and UK lag far behind countries including China in wanting those talks to produce a meaningful commitment to address climate change. In December, international representatives will meet in Paris to discuss an international agreement that some think could be humanity's last chance to limit the terrible effects climate change could have on the world and its population. But much of the US and the UK don't want their governments to do anything at all. READ MORE Scientists say temperatures could rise by 6C by 2100 and call for action ahead of UN meeting in Paris Planned curbs in greenhouse gas emissions won't prevent global warming 'danger limit' being. reached 'Slow-down' in climate change never happened, says major review In the US, 17 per cent of people "do not agree to any international agreement that addresses climate change". That number is 7 per cent in the UK. In China and Indonesia, on the other hand, it is only 1 per cent. In China, 60 per cent of people want their representatives to "play a leadership role in setting ambitious targets to address climate change as quickly as possible in the UK, that number is 41 per cent. Many citizens don't want their representatives to do anything to address climate change Percentage of people that want their country's strategy to be not to agree to any international agreement that addresses climate change US 17 Norway ---■ 10 Finland 8 Sweden 8 UK 7 Demnark 4 Germany 4 France 3 Australia 3 China ■ 1 Hong Kong 1 Indonesia . 1 Malaysia ® 1 Singapore ® 1 Thailand 111 1 Sc'MI rc YouGov Get the data