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Exh 9 Part 1AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 City of Atlantic Beach Long Term Financial Plan Preliminary Information for: Strategic Planning and Preparation of Fiscal Year 2001/2002 AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 Table of Contents Introduction 1 Assumptions and Conclusions 1-4 General Fund 4-6 Gas Tax Fund 6 Convention Aevelopment Tax Fund 6 Better Jacksonville''/: Cent Sales Tax 6 Water and Sewer Combined Utility 7 Storm Water Utility 7 Utility Bond Construction Fund 8 Sanitation Fund 8 Conclusion 8-9 Schedules and Graphs 10-27 AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 Introduction Annually, the City Commission, City Managerand staff go about the routine process of adopting a budget. With this budget come decisions regarding setting the levels of service'that we deliver to our community. With each election,. comes a new perspective of the needs of the community and with that, a different set of priorities. This report will help to identify theYesources which are to be available in the up-coming years for the purpose of providing a framework for decision making. By settinglong term financial boundaries and having annual strategic planning sessions, the City will be doing everything it can to assure that the strong financial position we en}oy now is preserved into the future. This report is intended to provide you with an understanding of our current position of each of the major funds so that you may make better decisions during strategic planning. Those decisions will be directly incorporated into this yeaz's annual budget process beginning in a few months. As decisions are made and implemented, this report will continually be revised. The following schedules and graphs should help management understand the available resources for each fund and the relationships between them. The two types of funds described are the general government and enterprise funds or utilities. A number of small grant funds and trust funds aze not included in this report. The version of the report to follow is an interim report for your review. If you have a need for additional information or would like to see it presented in a different format, please forwazd your comments to the City Manager and we will implement changes for the next version. Assumptions and Conclusions In the preparation of this report, l have made certain assumptions and conclusions with respect to conditions that may occur in the future. While I believe these assumptions are reasonable for the purpose of the report, they aze dependant on future events, and actual conditions may differ from those assumed. In addition, I have used and relied upon certain information provided by others. I believe these sources to be reliable, but have not independently verified the accuracy of the information. This report is a combination of assumptions, known variables and projections and as reality occurs, the projections will change. For this reason the report will be an on-going,. constantly changing effort with which we will use as a guide in the annual budget process. AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 Revenues: In general, the revenue projections include no new revenue sources. All revenue increases aze based on existing sources with a growth factor determined by the history of that particular source. The only revenues with a projected increase in rates aze the Water and Sewer Utilities. Interest earnings are based on 5% return on the average projected cash balance. Expenditures: The expenditures are broken down into the five major budgeted categories. These are Personal Services which includes Salary, Wages and Benefits, Operating, Capital Outlay, Debt Service and Transfers-Out.. The basic assumptions for these are as follows: Salary and Wages are projected at a 3% increase per year. The basis is a conservative estimate of 4% annual wage increase off=set by turnover and vacant positions. In a few cases, there aze exceptions where an additionaLamount was programmed in due to increasing demands on the department to provide the existing level of service. Overtime and special pays aze projected from current levels with the same 3% increase assumption as used with salary and wage increases. Benefits are projected with a direct relationship to salary and wages. F.LC.A. is .0765 of Salary and Wages Health Benefits aze projected to increase annually by 5%. The City's .current provider is no longer going to provide service after October 2001 and therefore there may be a significant change in this item. Pension Benefit cost is projected at 11.24% for General Employees and 11% for Police. These aze based on the most recent actuazial report. Operating Expenditures are projected using a conservative 3% rate of increase. As decisions to change levels of service aze made over the yeazs, those related line items will get increasesor decreases as needed. Internal service charges aze a major portion of operating expenditures and aze projected to increase at 4%. The primary reason for this is that the internal services include charges for Finance, Human Resources and the City Manager as well as the administrative expenses for all the utility funds. The expenses related to these azeas aze projected to increase slightly faster than the rest of the operating expenses due to the increase 2 AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 in costs related to information technology. This includes additional softwaze, hardware, training and related maintenance: Although technology:. improvements will help us do our jobs better and allow our customers greater access to City activities and information, those improvements. will drive up the cost of doing business. The extra percent gives an allowance for improving the service delivery. Capital Outlay includes purchases of land, buildings, infrastructure improvements, equipment and vehicles. The acquisition of land or buildings is rare. Most expenditures include only the routine items such as vehicle and ' equipment replacement. Most equipment with an estimated replacement value of over $10,000 was scheduled for replacement. The City's fleet was analyzed by our contract maintenance chief and the report was then altered to reflect keeping some of the fleet longer than industry averages would suggest. The major capital outlay for non-utility projects is projected as a transfer out to the Governmental Capital Projects Fund. For purposes of a long term projection for capital outlay which is sporadic and unpredictable, I have. included an annual appropriation of about $200,000 from General Fund resources. Recent expenditures of this type have included improvements to or the acquisition of parks. Additionally, the City will benefit from the new Better Jacksonville %2 Cent Sales Tax of about $500,000 per year. This could be viewed as an addition to the $200,000 from the General Fund or displace those funds accordingly. Also contributing to the resources available for governmental projects is the Convention Development Tax proceeds of about $60,000 per year. The schedules that follow reflect the transfers from the General Fund and the Convention Development Tax Fund to the Capital Improvement Fund but do not reflect the additional '/s Cent Sales Tax which will be budgeted separately in the up-coming budget process. The major portion of capital outlay in the utilities is based on engineer's reports. The Storm Water Master Plan, Water System Master Plan, Sewer Master Plan and the recent estimates on the Core City project aze all included. The Utility Bond Construction Fund is scheduled to be dissolved after FY-2003 when the Core City project is complete. Also included in the utility capital outlay are the routine equipment and vehicle replacements. Debt Service is a projection of existing debt obligations. There are no plans to AGENDA 1TCM tt9 MARCFI 26, 2001 issue any new debt at .this time. Both the General and Gas Tax Funds do not reflect debt and as such there is no expense for debt payment. The debt is shown in the Governmental Debt Service Fund which is funded by transfers from the General and Gas Tax Funds based on their pro-rata share. The Debt for the Utilities is allocated between the Water, Sewer and Storm Water Utilities based on original cost estimates. After completion of the projects, this allocation will be re-evaluated and adjustments made. This may shift the long term burden between funds, however the total debt service will remain constant over the projection period. Transfers reveal the relationship between the various funds, (See Page 27). Projected are the annual transfers from the Water, Sewer and Sanitation utilities to the General Fund reflecting the return on investment. Also programmed are the transfers from the General Fund, Gas Tax and Convention Development Tax Funds for their restricted purposes which are capital improvements, promotional and debt service. Not shown aze transfers between the Water and Sewer Utilities because they aze considered a combined utility for financial statement purposes. For each to have positive cash flow in every year of the projection, there would need to be some cross-subsidies. This report does not reflect those transfers. Also'showsis the recent decision to fund storm water maintenance in the Storm Water Utility Fund by a subsidized transfer from the General Fund. In order to eliminate the Storm Water Utility subsidy, there would need to be a dramatic fee increase. This increase is not projected. Cash Balances Cash balances and the changes to them aze the results of the beginning cash balances increased by the revenue projections and decreased by the expense projection. On a fund by firnd basis, an effort was made to preserve the strong cash position we currently enjoy by spreading out the lazge capital. requirements to match available funding. General Fund.- (See Pages 10-14 j The General Fund began FY-2001 with over four million in reserves. This cash balance is projected to remain strong over the projection period, far exceeding the 25% operafing reserve requirement. AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 The-General Fund revenues aze basically projected using an average change over the last four years. Where there was no identifiable trend, projections were conservatively low. Property Tax revenue was projected assuming that the City will continue to experience the annual increase in tax base while keeping the millage the same over the projection period. At this time, there are no plans to enhance revenues with added charges for services, taxes or rate increases in the General Fund. Keep in mind that each year there are some general government programs which benefit from grant revenues. These projections do not consider grant revenue as a source to be depended on. The frequency and amounts aze not predictable with a degree of certainty and therefore not included in this. report. During the budget process for Fiscal Yeaz 2001, seven and a half new positions were added to the General Fund budget. These positions were mostly for either facility maintenance or grounds maintenance. These positions have been recently filled and are projected into the future at full cost. With the exception of one new maintenance position and one administrative position, there aze no other new employees projected into the schedules. .City Administration includes some, additional funding for record processing and ,retention in FY-2002 and 2003.. As part of the information technology, scanning, indexing and storage of City records needs to be addressed. The Plannine and Buildine departments aze projected into the future with the basic assumptions and no abnormal expenses. Public Saferi is projected with the basic assumptions for payroll and operating expenses with the exception of the addition of an administrative staff person added in FY-2004. There is funding for the replacement of three patrol cars per yeaz as well as a periodic replacement of a specialty vehicle. Fire protection services provided for by the City of Jacksonville aze programmed to increase by 3% according to the contract. Pazks and Recreation is projected forward with all the additional staff added in FY-2001 and no others, This is an azea that with the addition of so many new facilities may need adjustment in the near future. The current plan is to provide the new services with the current number of employees and amount of operating expenses. There aze a few new vehicles added into the capital outlay schedule in the next few yeazs to be used in maintenance. General Government This division includes some operating expenses for AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 insurance and building maintenance but the majority of the expenditures is transfers to other funds. The transfer to debt service of $148,000 annually will end in FY-2006. There is a $200,000 annual transfer to the governmental capital projects fund for discretionary spending. Beginning in FY-2002, there are substantial transfers of $600;000 and subsequently approximately'$400,000 thereafter to the Storm Water Utility fund. These transfers reflectlthe cost of maintaining the storm water system which were previously accounted for in the Streets Division of the General Fund. In FY-2002, the City will need to purchase a vacuum jet truck which accounts for $200,000 of the FY-2002 transfer. This division also accounts for the transfer to the Pension Fund for administrative expenses. Gas Tax Fund - (See Pages 15-16 ) Gas Tax revenues aze restricted for streets and roads and are projected to increase by 3% per year. All available revenues have been programmed for existing debt service, micro-resurfacing of roads and transfers to the Storm Water Utility to assist in funding some drainage projects in the Royal Palms area. The lazge cash balance existing at the beginning of FY-2001 includes $1,000,000'.. which was designated for the Core City Project. These funds will roll forward until spent for that purpose. Convention Development Tax Fund - (See Page 17 ) Convention Development Tax proceeds are shown as an annual transfer to the Governmental Capital Project Fund. The annual proceeds of $60,000 is restricted for. capital improvements or promotional activities and is expected to grow by only about 1 % per year. Recent uses of these funds include Town Center Improvements and partial funding for Bull Pazk. Better Jacksonville'/z Cent Sales Tax - (No Schedules ) It is estimated that the City will benefit from the. Better Jacksonville % cent discretionary sales tax of approximately $500,000 per year. These funds can be used for capital improvements or to serve debt for new capital improvements of a governmental nature. No schedules were prepazed showing these funds as there is no budget for them. These funds may be seen as available in addition to the $200,000 annual contribution from the General Fund or they may displace those AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 funds freeing them up for other things. Up-coming strategic planning sessions may give direction as to the disposition of these fiords. Water and Sewer Combined Utility - (See Pages 18-21 ) Water and Sewer charges aze based on a history of four years. The trend over that time is relatively flat. Added to this are two subsequent rate increases in FY-2001 and FY-2002 of 8% each. Increases in projected years forward aze minimal and reflect a C.P.I. adjustment policy which has yet to be approved. The projection reflects a 3% growth with a 1 % C.P.I.. for. a total of 4% per yeaz. In FY-2003 the City plans to restructure the current rates to work towards a rate that will eliminate the 3,000 gallon minimum charge. This rate. structure will affect some groups more than others, but the overall impact should be neutral As a separate component, a C:P.I. index rate increase will be proposed as mentioned above. The rates discussed above along with the various other revenues of the utility are projected to fund approximately $1,000,000 in annual capital outlay. Due to the nature of spending on capital projects, this amount will fluctuate from year to year. hi actuality, one year may incur double the amount and the next almost none. This analysis simply attempts to smooth out the expenditures to match the available resources. The expenditures for the Water and Sewer Utilities are projected using the basic assumptions for personal services, operating expenses and debt service. The capital outlay for equipment and vehicle replacement is routine. The infrastructure improvements aze forecasted according to the Water and Sewer Master plans recently completed. Some of the master plan objectives have been deferred pending future availability of funds but the majority are in place. Storm Water Utility - (See Pages 22-23 ) When the Storm Water Utility was created, a rate of $3.00 per E.R.U. was adopted. Today, this rate only covers the debt service on the Core City Project. To capture full cost of providing storm drainage, the maintenance and capital projects have to be funded from other sources until a rate adjustment occurs. The long term projection assumes no change in rates and a continued subsidy from the General Fund for maintenance and a continued subsidy from the Gas Tax fund for drainage improvements. A Storm Water Utility rate increase would help the burden on the General Fund or the Gas Tax fund where those funds would AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 otherwise be spent on resurfacing projects. The drainage project begun in the Royal Palms area accounts for the capital outlay and if deferred or scaled back would also provide relief. Without the benefit of strategic priorities at this time, the funding of this project is presented. Utility Bond Construction Fund - (See Page 24 ) This fund accounts for the remaining balance of bond proceeds received approximately five years ago. The revenues from that time aze simply interest on the cash balance limited by an investment contract as to avoid arbitrage rebate. This fund has been earning 5.75 % since inception. The investment contract expires this yeaz and I expect a lowering of investment returns. These funds will be invested in the State Board Administration until spent. According to the Public Works Director, this project should be completed. before the end of FY-2003. Sanitation Fund - (See Pages 25-26 ) The Sanitation Utility Fund revenues are projected without any rate adjustments and aze sufficient to cover the expenses of providing the service for the near future. The recent bid awazd to B.F.I. for collection included a reduction in service by going to one day collection of yazd waste from two. The projection at current rates with some growth shows an annual surplus being generated of about $50,000. This surplus will be eroded over time as the annual increase in the cost of collection grows over time. The projection shows a need to adjust rates in the future, but no immediate changes aze necessary at this time. Conclusion: The strongest measure of the long term financial position of the City is the reliability of the revenue stream and cash balance. The City's revenue stream is projected out as steady, reliable and growing. This trend appeazs to be sufficient to sustain a moderate increase in expenses going into the future. In regazds to the cash position of the General Fund and other related governmental funds, the cash position is expected to stay very strong. Affecting this cash position is the transfer from the General Fund to the Storm Water'Utility Fund for storm drainage maintenance and the transfer from the Gas Tax Fund for Royal Palms drainage improvements. As the Core City project is complete, the demands for increased maintenance will put a strain on these existing resources. AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 200t The cash position of the individual utilities fluctuates from yeaz to yeaz as the programmed capital expenditures occur. The capital projects were scheduled to assure that the cash balance in total. remains relatively constant over time. This assumes that there are future rate increases relative to an annual C!.P.I. index which aze not yet approved for the Water and Sewer utilities. The water utility will be supporting the sewer utility in order to fund the $1,000,000 in annual capital improvements projected and the storm water utility will have to be heavily subsidized by the Gas Tax and General Funds. Of course additional rate increases in any of the three utilities would help. The Sanitation Fund continues to provide the General Fund with an annual transfer of $200,000 and should be financially strong over the projection period. The rate increase that was expected when the City rebid services was off-set by reducing yard trash service to one day per week. This reduction of service had little impact on the community. Overall, at present, it appears as though the City will continue to be financially strong as long as the decisions made. are made within the funding boundaries highlighted in this report or are funded from new sources not yet identified. City of Atlantic Beach Long Term Financial Plan Projection Summary General Fund Actual Actual Actual Budget Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. FY-98 FY-99 FYAO FY-01 FY-02 FY-03 FY-04 FY-OS FY-O6 FY-O7 - FY-08 FY-09. FY-10 Cash Balance Forroard 2,925,177 3,574,330 4,009,332 4,302 327 4,273 134 3 963 476 3 779 383 3 610,036 3 856,100 3 636,399 4,062,681 4,391,177 4,826,628 Revenues Taxes 2,636,885 2,867,974 3,040,813 3,193,267 3,304,885 3,422,147 3,545.261 3,674,450 3,809,959 3,952,049 4,100,999 4,257,105 4,420,683 Licenses and Permits 198,261 - 215,920 231,357 215,023 219,931 225,086 230,516 236,251 242,326 248,782 255,664 263,027 270,933 Intergovernmental Revenues 1,811,267 1,796,522 1,895,967 1,976,291 2,037,005 2,103,500 2,176,014 2,254 806 2,340,159 2,432,376 2,531,788 2,638,749 2,753,638 Charges for Services 106,836 106,037 107,153 ~ 114,721 115,717 116,743 117,800 118,889 120,011 121,166 122,354 123,578 124,837 Fines and Forteitures 83,076 121,742 204,818 113,716 118,025 122,503 127,159 131,998 137,028 142,257 147,692 153,342 159,216 Miscellaneous revenues 288,790 .249,019 348722 220,500 226,100 234,004 242,224 250,773 259,664 268,911 278,527 288,528 298,929 Interfund Transfers 645.192 600 000 624,740 600,000 618,000 636 540 655 636 675 305 695,564 716,431 737,924 760,062 782,864 Total Revenues ~ 5,770,307 5,957,214 6,453,570 6,433,518 6,639,663 6,860,524 7,094,610 7,342,473 7,604,711 7,881,971 8,174,949 8,484,392 8,811,101 Other Financing Sources 38,082 85154 - Total Resources 8,733,566 9,616,698 10,462,902 10 735,845 10,912,797 10,844,001 10,873,993 11,152 509 11,460,811 11 718,370 12,237,630 12 875 569 13 637 t28 Expenditures by Department Governing Botly 31270 23,036 22,635 46,252 46,539 46,834 47,139 47,A52 47,775 48,107 48,450 48,803 49,166 ~ City Adminislration 216,981 221,738 220,134 255,400 329,555 319,428 276,531 285,470 294,709 304,256 374,124 324,323 334,865 Planning and Zoning 85,356 92,093 94,878 102,521 103,359 106,658 112,564 113,582 177,216 720,970 124,847 128,852 132,989 Building 129,791 132,807 767,145 281,517 267,855 276,095 284,602 293,383 302,448 317,808 327,470 351,447 367,749 Puhlic Safety 3,148,050 3,239,597 3,293,226 3389,069 3,507,231 3,758,159 3,765,924„ 3,888,478 4,008,218 4,137,275 4,278,764 4,389,827 4,520,587 Public Works-Streets ~ 604,119 804,526 1,011,728 685,880 634,433 689,066 660.338 701,277 782,888 765,277 748;264 772,071 856,659 Parks and Recreation 245,069 308,858 431,948 996,149 787,727 800,507 825,284 850,854 902,244 935,482 965,594 961,610 991,562 General Government 698,600 784,711 729,569 705,983 1,252,628 1,067,871 1,097,577 7,115,978 1,168,913 1,038,581 1,044,939 7,072,008 1,099,807 Total Expenditures 5,159,236 5,607,366 5,971,263 6,462,711 6,929 321 7,064 618 7 063 957 7,296 410 7 624 412 7,655,689 7,646,452 8,048,941 B 347 383 Revenues Less Expenditures 611,071 349,848 482,307 -29,193 -269,658 -204,094 30,653 46,064 -19,701 226,282 328,496 435,450 463,718 Other Financing Uses 189 312 Cash Reserves 3574,330 4009332 4,302327 42737134 3983,476 3779,383 3819036 3856100 $14$6,399-.. _4,062,681 -.4,391,177 4,826;628 --5290345- Total Exp. & Reserves 8,73$,666 9,616,696 70,462,902 10,735,845 10,912,797 10,644,001 10,873 993 11,152 509 11,460 817 11,718 370 12 237 630 12 875,569 13 637 728 Resource Alloca[lon - ~ ~ 2 Personal Services 3,195,216 3,076,987 2,860,672 3,231,809 3,325,508 3,448,026 3,574,439 3,683,476 3,796,028 3,912,214 4,032,156 4,155,983 4,283,825 x a Operating 1,336,948 7,727,808 2,425,778 2,383,606 2,487,099 2,565.487 2,593 264 2,675,166 2,759,667 2,846,873 2,936,873 3,029,756 3,125,616 ~ Capital Outlay 163,350 317,868 273,522 662,127 135,000- 262,380 92,288 178,223 233,788 192,692 156,725 125,300 782,406 ~ -3 ~iy ' Transfers Out 463 722 490 709 411 951 185,189 981,713 788.725 803,946 879,545 835,530 703,917 720 698 737 903 755 535 ~, c „ ~ 7k .. Total Expenditures 5,159 236 5,607 366 5 971 263 6,462 711 6,929,321 7 066,618 7 063 957 7,296 410 7 624 412 7 655,689 7 646 452 B 048 941 8 347 363 e AGENDA ITEM #9 MARCH 26, 2001 City of Atlantic Beach Generale Fund Total Revenues and Expenditures L ~ ~ ~ O o o ~ 10 9 8 7 V 5 4 3 2 1 0 -~ -„ „ '~ ~ '~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ N ~O CO O ~ t00 O N O O i N O O N ~-~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ N N N O O O W A CJt '~ N O O -C N O O TI '11 T ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ N N N O O O O O -~ •-~ Revenues ~ Capital Outlay ~ Personal Services 0 Transfers. Out ® Operating Expenses ~~